{"id":5089,"date":"2016-05-27T12:49:38","date_gmt":"2016-05-27T15:49:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.sochid.cl\/?page_id=5089"},"modified":"2022-10-06T01:43:16","modified_gmt":"2022-10-06T04:43:16","slug":"iv-coloquio-trabajo-33","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.sochid.cl\/?page_id=5089","title":{"rendered":"IV COLOQUIO &#8211; Trabajo 33"},"content":{"rendered":"<h4 style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>GENERACION ESTOC\u00c1STICA DE SERIES C\u00cdCLICAS<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>PATRICIO FERRER A. <\/strong>1<strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><strong>RICARDO SEGUEL G. <\/strong>2<strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" align=\"center\"><strong>RESUMEN <\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">En este trabajo se presenta una metodolog\u00eda que permite generar secuencias estoc\u00e1sticas de caudales medios anuales de series que presentan caracter\u00edsticas c\u00edclicas. El m\u00e9todo propuesto se aparta de la generaci\u00f3n tradicional con cadenas de Markov de orden uno imponiendo condiciones adicionales que permitan reproducir la caracter\u00edstica c\u00edclica de la serie hist\u00f3rica. Tanto el m\u00e9todo tradicional como para el m\u00e9todo propuesto, se generan 10 series de 50 valores cada una y se comparan los resultados entre s\u00ed y con la serie hist\u00f3rica.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">1 Ingeniero Civil, M.E., socio de BF Ingenieros Civiles<br \/>\n2 Ingeniero Civil, BF Ingenieros Civiles<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Puede descargar el archivo en el siguiente link:<\/p>\n<div class=\"wpfilebase-file-default\" onclick=\"if('undefined' == typeof event.target.href) document.getElementById('wpfb-file-link-1').click();\">\r\n  <div class=\"icon\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sochid.cl\/?wpfb_dl=807\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Download Sochid Congreso 1979 33\"><img decoding=\"async\" align=\"middle\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sochid.cl\/wp-includes\/images\/crystal\/document.png\" alt=\"Sochid Congreso 1979 33\" \/><\/a><\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"filetitle\">\r\n    <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sochid.cl\/?wpfb_dl=807\" title=\"Download Sochid Congreso 1979 33\" target=\"_blank\" id=\"wpfb-file-link-1\">Sochid Congreso 1979 33<\/a>\r\n    \r\n    <br \/>\r\n    sochid_congreso_1979_33.pdf<br \/>\r\n    \r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"info\">\r\n    2.1 MiB<br \/>\r\n    167 Downloads<br \/>\r\n    <a href=\"#\" onclick=\"return wpfilebase_filedetails(1);\">Detalles<\/a>\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"details\" id=\"wpfilebase-filedetails1\" style=\"display: none;\">\r\n  \r\n  <table border=\"0\">\r\n   \r\n   \r\n   \r\n   \r\n   <tr><td><strong>Category:<\/strong><\/td><td>Coloquio IV<\/td><\/tr>\r\n   \r\n   <tr><td><strong>Fecha:<\/strong><\/td><td>15 enero, 2014<\/td><\/tr>\r\n  <\/table>\r\n  <\/div>\r\n <div style=\"clear: both;\"><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>GENERACION ESTOC\u00c1STICA DE SERIES C\u00cdCLICAS PATRICIO FERRER A. 1 RICARDO SEGUEL G. 2 RESUMEN En este trabajo se presenta una metodolog\u00eda que permite generar secuencias <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sochid.cl\/?page_id=5089\" title=\"IV COLOQUIO &#8211; Trabajo 33\">[&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":454,"featured_media":0,"parent":134,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-5089","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sochid.cl\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/5089","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sochid.cl\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sochid.cl\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sochid.cl\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/454"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sochid.cl\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5089"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.sochid.cl\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/5089\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9972,"href":"https:\/\/www.sochid.cl\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/5089\/revisions\/9972"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sochid.cl\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/134"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sochid.cl\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5089"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}